Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 10.545595 11.664991 12.866131 14.253005 15.812868 17.516107 19.520796
2025-10-12 9.109000 10.689798 12.503879 14.748820 17.464857 20.660241 24.727177
2025-10-19 7.855198 9.696958 11.936566 14.881784 18.684383 23.470997 30.019632
2025-10-26 6.792084 8.761924 11.281964 14.779911 19.568757 25.981689 35.366191
2025-11-02 5.928951 7.950319 10.655037 14.595579 20.285249 28.351293 40.922333
2025-11-09 5.222909 7.247882 10.068015 14.359981 20.865259 30.585973 46.657695
2025-11-16 4.665640 6.677760 9.583417 14.185781 21.481965 32.935309 52.964440
2025-11-23 4.227143 6.223515 9.204027 14.103158 22.203551 35.527031 60.116106
2025-11-30 3.950772 5.977136 9.101520 14.426425 23.603853 39.418020 70.236179
2025-12-07 3.621022 5.609625 8.763412 14.312727 24.236605 42.067513 78.580558
2025-12-14 3.292341 5.208809 8.325439 13.968682 24.403244 43.881566 85.635484
2025-12-21 3.055522 4.934206 8.065317 13.896962 25.043262 46.661163 95.198802
2025-12-28 2.928571 4.836475 8.103227 14.380458 26.830466 52.039441 111.709337
2026-01-04 2.801376 4.725691 8.106092 14.798807 28.555373 57.604158 130.043140
2026-01-11 2.637692 4.534578 7.944091 14.878691 29.602052 61.911580 146.473897
2026-01-18 2.462183 4.305894 7.689481 14.742600 30.170547 65.255385 161.340861
2026-01-25 2.295938 4.079621 7.417245 14.537035 30.555816 68.243574 176.065495
2026-02-01 2.141145 3.861708 7.140459 14.288729 30.807729 70.957134 190.776477
2026-02-08 2.008287 3.674821 6.907409 14.106739 31.187285 74.060811 207.533168
2026-02-15 1.897147 3.521190 6.726960 14.019012 31.779871 77.828756 227.474460
2026-02-22 1.834590 3.458642 6.726736 14.336348 33.420475 84.731514 259.798118
2026-03-01 1.736867 3.317117 6.548444 14.221070 33.942782 88.628757 283.168358
2026-03-08 1.627301 3.143068 6.286126 13.878031 33.819508 90.645911 300.491689